2017, Q1:

Dry Bulk Market to Face Sharp Dip

Precious Shipping managing director Khalid Hashim has warned that if scrapping of bulkers does not pick-up in Q4 the market could dip sharply in the first quarter of 2017.

News ID: 70107

Date: 09 November 2016 - 15:25

In the Bangkok-headquartered shipowner’s third quarter report Hashim said, “things had not gone as well as expected on the supply side” for dry bulk with a slowing up in scrapping, MANA correspondent reported.

While some 14.09m dwt of bulkers were scrapped in Q1, this dropped 8.65m dwt in Q2 and for the third quarter it dropped to 3.24m dwt which he described as “a truly disappointing number”.

The result has been that while zero fleet growth had been hoped for this year, for the first nine months of the year the fleet grew 13.88m dwt or 1.77%.

“If scrapping doesn’t pick up in Q4 we think that you may see the market dipping back sharply in Q1 2017 due to the January impact on the supply side (when more ships are delivered in this one month than any other month in the year) and the expected slowdown in demand due to the approaching Chinese New Year. This is not good news for the market,” Hashim warned.